Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Monahan 52.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Dowd
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Dowd
Monahan
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
9
Dowd
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dowd
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
52.4% (853)
-0.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
58.6% (174)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
46.5% (144)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Dowd
Monahan
Home
51.5% (619)
53.4% (624)
Away
48.1% (576)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Dowd
Monahan
P1
51.7%
53.7%
P2
51.6%
52.4%
P3
47.0%
51.6%
OT
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |