Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Jarvis 48.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 86.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.0%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 56.7%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 86.2%
13.8%
86.2%
Dowd
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Dowd
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
45.8% (24)
+9.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
0.0% (1)
+57.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Jarvis is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Dowd
Jarvis
Home
58.2% (462)
27.3% (11)
Away
49.3% (481)
57.1% (14)
By Period
Dowd
Jarvis
P1
55.6%
58.3%
P2
50.5%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
14.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |