Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+16.2%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 92.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.9%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dowd
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
37.5% (24)
+17.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
0.0% (1)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
0.0% (1)
+38.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Jarvis is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Dowd
Jarvis
Home
53.7% (445)
38.5% (13)
Away
47.7% (407)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Dowd
Jarvis
P1
48.8%
40.0%
P2
49.3%
20.0%
P3
54.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%