Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Thompson 41.2% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Dowd
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
40.6% (801)
+14.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
44.7% (103)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
31.0% (71)
+14.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Dowd
Thompson
Home
58.2% (462)
43.2% (507)
Away
49.3% (481)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Dowd
Thompson
P1
55.6%
37.7%
P2
50.5%
43.4%
P3
53.9%
39.5%
OT
75.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%