Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Thompson 43.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 86.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Dowd
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
1
(13 meetings)
12
1
Dowd
Thompson
Last 10: Dowd 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
1
Dowd
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
43.3% (735)
+11.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (26)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
36.5% (52)
+1.7%
On even strength, Dowd has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Dowd
Thompson
Home
53.7% (445)
44.5% (407)
Away
47.7% (407)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Dowd
Thompson
P1
48.8%
44.4%
P2
49.3%
44.8%
P3
54.0%
40.2%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |