Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 95.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Dowd
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
57.0% (718)
-7.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
64.9% (188)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
44.2% (77)
-0.2%
On even strength, Hertl has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hertl
Home
46.3% (492)
59.2% (463)
Away
49.8% (532)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Dowd
Hertl
P1
49.1%
56.3%
P2
48.2%
55.4%
P3
46.9%
60.5%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%