Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 73.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Dowd
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
53.2% (201)
+0.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.0% (25)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
44.4% (9)
-4.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Dowd shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Dowd
Seguin
Home
48.5% (307)
56.3% (126)
Away
50.3% (366)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Dowd
Seguin
P1
50.7%
44.3%
P2
49.1%
52.1%
P3
49.6%
62.5%
OT
30.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%