Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 73.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Dowd
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
53.2% (201)
-1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.0% (25)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
44.4% (9)
-2.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Dowd
Seguin
Home
48.6% (451)
56.3% (126)
Away
49.5% (416)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Dowd
Seguin
P1
49.1%
44.3%
P2
47.3%
52.1%
P3
51.4%
62.5%
OT
30.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%