Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 85.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Dowd
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Dowd
Seguin
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
6
Dowd
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Dowd
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
53.7% (8,071)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.9% (810)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
49.3% (762)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Dowd
Seguin
Home
51.9% (3,897)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Dowd
Seguin
P1
51.7%
52.8%
P2
50.4%
53.3%
P3
50.3%
54.7%
OT
45.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |