Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 77.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Dowd
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Dowd
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
56.5% (712)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.7% (67)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
44.9% (49)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Dowd
Seguin
Home
58.2% (462)
58.5% (402)
Away
49.3% (481)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Dowd
Seguin
P1
55.6%
58.4%
P2
50.5%
54.7%
P3
53.9%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |