Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.6%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 89.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 53.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 61.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Dowd
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
54.3% (955)
+1.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
64.6% (96)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
51.0% (194)
-5.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
58.2% (462)
58.3% (604)
Away
49.3% (481)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
55.6%
53.9%
P2
50.5%
55.7%
P3
53.9%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |