Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 69.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
7
Dowd
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
57.8% (626)
-6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
63.6% (151)
-63.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
44.0% (141)
-2.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
48.6% (451)
54.4% (390)
Away
49.5% (416)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
49.1%
56.4%
P2
47.3%
58.7%
P3
51.4%
54.8%
OT
30.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |