Nic Dowd vs Vincent Trocheck

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowd 49.1% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor Trocheck leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Trocheck 69.3%
Defensive zone Dowd 80.8%
Neutral zone Dowd 60.7%
Result Nic Dowd favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Dowd Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 10 (18 meetings)
8
10
Dowd Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Trocheck

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
7
Dowd Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd Trocheck
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
57.8% (626)
-6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
63.6% (151)
-63.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
44.0% (141)
-2.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +63.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
48.6% (451)
54.4% (390)
Away
49.5% (416)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
49.1%
56.4%
P2
47.3%
58.7%
P3
51.4%
54.8%
OT
30.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%
48.0%
49.0%
Trocheck
60.0%
57.0%
56.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 31, 2025 3 15:12 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 31, 2025 2 18:03 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 31, 2025 2 14:56 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 2 14:13 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 31, 2025 2 14:00 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 2 07:33 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 2 04:39 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 1 15:14 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 3 13:39 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 3 09:18 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 3 02:35 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 3 02:23 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 3 00:48 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 2 17:55 Offensive Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 2 14:40 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 2 10:54 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 2 00:23 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 1 07:49 Offensive Vincent Trocheck