Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 21-6 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 74.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 88.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
21
(27 meetings)
6
21
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 2-8 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
19
Dowd
Trocheck
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Dowd
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
57.6% (1,061)
-8.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
65.1% (338)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
49.5% (101)
-5.5%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
46.3% (492)
61.8% (735)
Away
49.8% (532)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
49.1%
57.7%
P2
48.2%
57.9%
P3
46.9%
60.4%
OT
71.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |