Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 68.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 81.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 2-8 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
7
Dowd
Trocheck
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Dowd
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
55.0% (956)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.8% (266)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
56.3% (64)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
53.7% (445)
57.7% (673)
Away
47.7% (407)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
48.8%
55.4%
P2
49.3%
55.6%
P3
54.0%
56.4%
OT
44.4%
83.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |