Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 84.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
8
Dowd
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
2
Dowd
Trocheck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
59.6% (1,032)
-7.4%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
62.1% (253)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
55.4% (249)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
51.5% (619)
61.7% (786)
Away
48.1% (576)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
51.7%
61.7%
P2
51.6%
58.8%
P3
47.0%
57.6%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |