Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.1% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 88.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
1
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (340)
57.9% (1,179)
-11.7%
Power Play
58.0% (50)
63.0% (292)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.8% (320)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Bjugstad shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Home
49.4% (237)
61.3% (884)
Away
44.8% (154)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
P1
46.4%
55.5%
P2
50.4%
61.0%
P3
45.6%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |