Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 85.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 61.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 77.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 85.9%
14.1%
85.9%
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
56.2% (983)
-9.5%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
55.5% (254)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
52.0% (102)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Home
47.3% (220)
56.2% (697)
Away
47.5% (217)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
P1
46.1%
54.5%
P2
46.3%
55.5%
P3
50.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |