Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 74.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
55.4% (826)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
57.9% (221)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
50.4% (129)
-3.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Home
48.4% (190)
55.8% (579)
Away
49.2% (132)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
P1
41.7%
57.7%
P2
56.6%
54.8%
P3
48.7%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%