Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.9% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (307)
55.6% (926)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.3% (247)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (37)
50.3% (169)
-1.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Bjugstad shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Home
48.5% (196)
55.5% (656)
Away
51.6% (155)
54.7% (686)
By Period
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
P1
42.7%
56.9%
P2
57.4%
55.1%
P3
50.0%
53.8%
OT
33.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.9%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
53.5%
55.1%