Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Bjugstad wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 50.8% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 78.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Last 6: Bjugstad 3-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
2
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (194)
60.3% (1,517)
-13.4%
Power Play
59.2% (103)
61.5% (387)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
55.0% (220)
-55.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Bjugstad shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Home
47.7% (149)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
54.4% (149)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
P1
44.0%
56.8%
P2
53.5%
64.6%
P3
53.3%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |