Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
49.3% (789)
+6.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.9% (181)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
54.1% (98)
+3.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Home
53.2% (111)
52.0% (512)
Away
56.9% (144)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Bjugstad
Stamkos
P1
44.6%
42.1%
P2
61.4%
56.4%
P3
61.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |