Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 60.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 65.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
49.3% (670)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
53.7% (121)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
33.3% (3)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Bjugstad shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Home
47.3% (220)
54.0% (400)
Away
47.5% (217)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Bjugstad
Stamkos
P1
46.1%
48.6%
P2
46.3%
54.5%
P3
50.4%
45.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |