Nick Bjugstad vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 26-25 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 62.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 67.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
26
(51 meetings)
25
26
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
7
Bjugstad
Stamkos
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
7
Bjugstad
Stamkos
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
9
12
Bjugstad
Stamkos
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
50.4% (9,799)
-1.8%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
55.1% (1,725)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
49.7% (825)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Bjugstad shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Stamkos
Home
49.8% (4,020)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Bjugstad
Stamkos
P1
49.0%
49.1%
P2
49.1%
52.7%
P3
48.4%
50.9%
OT
61.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |