Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Bjugstad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Bjugstad
Seguin
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
5
Bjugstad
Seguin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
5
Bjugstad
Seguin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
6
Bjugstad
Seguin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
55.9% (810)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
49.3% (762)
-5.0%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Bjugstad shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Seguin
Home
49.8% (4,020)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Bjugstad
Seguin
P1
49.0%
52.8%
P2
49.1%
53.3%
P3
48.4%
54.7%
OT
61.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |