Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Bjugstad
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
53.2% (201)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
60.0% (25)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
44.4% (9)
+2.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Bjugstad shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Seguin
Home
48.4% (190)
56.3% (126)
Away
49.2% (132)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Bjugstad
Seguin
P1
41.7%
44.3%
P2
56.6%
52.1%
P3
48.7%
62.5%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%