Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 56.0%). Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Bjugstad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Bjugstad
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
56.5% (712)
-0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
59.7% (67)
-59.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.9% (49)
+12.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Seguin
Home
53.2% (111)
58.5% (402)
Away
56.9% (144)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Bjugstad
Seguin
P1
44.6%
58.4%
P2
61.4%
54.7%
P3
61.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |