Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Seguin 51.8% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Bjugstad
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
54.8% (135)
-8.1%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
58.3% (24)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
26.7% (15)
+35.8%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Bjugstad shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Seguin
Home
47.3% (220)
47.4% (95)
Away
47.5% (217)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Bjugstad
Seguin
P1
46.1%
50.8%
P2
46.3%
57.1%
P3
50.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%