Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 51.5% vs Seguin 55.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Bjugstad
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bjugstad
Seguin
Last 7: Bjugstad 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Bjugstad
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Bjugstad
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Bjugstad
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
55.9% (789)
-5.5%
Power Play
60.6% (104)
52.1% (48)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
44.4% (9)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bjugstad is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Bjugstad shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Seguin
Home
52.9% (461)
57.3% (382)
Away
50.4% (407)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Bjugstad
Seguin
P1
51.5%
55.1%
P2
53.8%
57.5%
P3
49.8%
53.7%
OT
60.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
43.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |