Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Paul 52.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 54.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Foligno
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Foligno
Paul
Last 10: Foligno 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
4
Foligno
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Foligno
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
52.5% (3,796)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
56.5% (480)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
46.7% (574)
-2.7%
On even strength, Paul has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Foligno shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Foligno
Paul
Home
49.9% (2,013)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Foligno
Paul
P1
47.6%
53.9%
P2
50.4%
51.0%
P3
48.3%
52.0%
OT
29.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |