Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Paul 53.3% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Paul 64.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 65.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Foligno
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
53.2% (327)
-4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
61.4% (57)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
50.0% (32)
-2.9%
On power play, Paul has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Foligno
Paul
Home
48.9% (178)
54.6% (183)
Away
50.6% (176)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Foligno
Paul
P1
40.4%
56.3%
P2
55.8%
54.8%
P3
51.2%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%