Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Paul 53.4% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Foligno
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
53.8% (753)
-1.8%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
58.9% (90)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.4% (78)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Foligno shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Foligno
Paul
Home
51.2% (41)
54.2% (450)
Away
61.3% (31)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Foligno
Paul
P1
55.6%
58.2%
P2
48.0%
50.6%
P3
65.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
81.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%