Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Paul 50.4% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Foligno
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
53.0% (644)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
37.5% (24)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.9% (177)
+7.1%
On power play, Foligno has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Foligno shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Foligno
Paul
Home
56.3% (16)
52.5% (516)
Away
56.5% (23)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Foligno
Paul
P1
50.0%
47.6%
P2
66.7%
48.4%
P3
54.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
100.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%