Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Paul 50.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 58.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Foligno
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Foligno
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Foligno
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
48.8% (666)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
53.8% (65)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
60.0% (55)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Foligno shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Foligno
Paul
Home
49.6% (359)
49.7% (348)
Away
47.2% (345)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Foligno
Paul
P1
46.7%
51.0%
P2
52.7%
47.4%
P3
46.7%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |