Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Roy 48.9% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Foligno
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
49.5% (746)
+8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.7% (75)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.7% (110)
+7.3%
On even strength, Foligno has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Foligno shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Foligno
Roy
Home
56.3% (16)
47.7% (491)
Away
56.5% (23)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Foligno
Roy
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
66.7%
44.6%
P3
54.5%
50.9%
Final 5 min
100.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%