Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Roy 48.3% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Foligno
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
48.3% (633)
+3.7%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
52.1% (48)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.7% (87)
-43.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Foligno
Roy
Home
51.2% (41)
50.8% (376)
Away
61.3% (31)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Foligno
Roy
P1
55.6%
53.8%
P2
48.0%
43.5%
P3
65.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
81.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%