Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Roy 47.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 58.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Foligno
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Foligno
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
48.6% (679)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
48.0% (50)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
34.7% (49)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Foligno
Roy
Home
49.6% (359)
49.3% (345)
Away
47.2% (345)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Foligno
Roy
P1
46.7%
47.6%
P2
52.7%
47.1%
P3
46.7%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |