Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Hertl 54.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 68.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 63.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Foligno
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Foligno
Hertl
Last 8: Foligno 3-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
1
Foligno
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Foligno
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (202)
54.7% (570)
-7.7%
Power Play
57.9% (95)
55.2% (143)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
54.5% (77)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Foligno is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hertl
Home
50.6% (162)
56.2% (379)
Away
49.0% (157)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Foligno
Hertl
P1
48.9%
53.4%
P2
47.8%
52.7%
P3
53.8%
57.6%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |