Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Foligno
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
51.6% (1,084)
+6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.1% (136)
+5.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Foligno shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hertl
Home
56.3% (16)
55.2% (696)
Away
56.5% (23)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Foligno
Hertl
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
66.7%
54.8%
P3
54.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
100.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%