Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 71.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 66.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Foligno
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Foligno
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Foligno
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
57.0% (718)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
64.9% (188)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
44.2% (77)
-3.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hertl
Home
57.3% (225)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.1% (210)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Foligno
Hertl
P1
53.0%
56.3%
P2
51.8%
55.4%
P3
52.6%
60.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |