Nick Foligno vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 64.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 81.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 74.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Foligno
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Foligno
Karlsson
Last 10: Foligno 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Foligno
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
6
2
Foligno
Karlsson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
1
Foligno
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
54.8% (1,048)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
44.2% (1,109)
-0.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Foligno shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Foligno
Karlsson
Home
49.9% (2,013)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Foligno
Karlsson
P1
47.6%
50.3%
P2
50.4%
51.3%
P3
48.3%
52.4%
OT
29.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |