Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 55.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Foligno
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
58.5% (135)
-9.5%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
80.0% (5)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
44.4% (18)
+2.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Foligno
Karlsson
Home
48.9% (178)
63.7% (91)
Away
50.6% (176)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Foligno
Karlsson
P1
40.4%
54.4%
P2
55.8%
66.7%
P3
51.2%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%