Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 55.3%). Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Foligno
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
55.3% (897)
-3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
61.1% (113)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.8% (132)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Foligno shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Foligno
Karlsson
Home
51.2% (41)
58.6% (560)
Away
61.3% (31)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Foligno
Karlsson
P1
55.6%
55.8%
P2
48.0%
55.6%
P3
65.0%
55.7%
Final 5 min
81.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%