Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Foligno
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Foligno
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
56.3% (739)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
58.6% (181)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
47.2% (53)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Foligno
Karlsson
Home
57.3% (225)
56.5% (462)
Away
47.1% (210)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Foligno
Karlsson
P1
53.0%
57.1%
P2
51.8%
55.2%
P3
52.6%
56.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |