Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Foligno
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
51.4% (735)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
63.5% (115)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.9% (133)
+7.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Foligno shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Foligno
Karlsson
Home
56.3% (16)
52.3% (524)
Away
56.5% (23)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Foligno
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
50.7%
P2
66.7%
51.4%
P3
54.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
100.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%