Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Gourde 49.5% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Foligno
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
49.1% (731)
+9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.3% (81)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.2% (85)
+1.8%
On even strength, Foligno has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Foligno shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Foligno
Gourde
Home
56.3% (16)
50.9% (479)
Away
56.5% (23)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Foligno
Gourde
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
66.7%
49.8%
P3
54.5%
47.5%
Final 5 min
100.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%