Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 79.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Foligno
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
48.0% (914)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
54.2% (48)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
43.9% (123)
-3.3%
On even strength, Foligno has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Foligno
Gourde
Home
57.3% (225)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.1% (210)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Foligno
Gourde
P1
53.0%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
45.3%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |