Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 60.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 56.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Foligno
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Foligno
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Foligno
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Foligno
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
51.2% (469)
-2.5%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
42.9% (21)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
37.5% (48)
+6.3%
On power play, Foligno has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Foligno shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Foligno
Gourde
Home
49.6% (359)
47.8% (301)
Away
47.2% (345)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Foligno
Gourde
P1
46.7%
47.3%
P2
52.7%
53.4%
P3
46.7%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |