Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 55.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 54.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 57.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Foligno
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
49.1% (847)
+2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
79.5% (44)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.5% (81)
-39.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Foligno shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Foligno
Gourde
Home
51.2% (41)
50.1% (491)
Away
61.3% (31)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Foligno
Gourde
P1
55.6%
54.7%
P2
48.0%
45.0%
P3
65.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
81.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%