Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs Paul 53.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 69.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 55.4%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 52.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Lundeström
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lundeström
Paul
Last 5: Lundeström 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Lundeström
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
53.2% (327)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
61.4% (57)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
50.0% (32)
+0.0%
On power play, Paul has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Lundeström shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Paul
Home
50.0% (136)
54.6% (183)
Away
57.3% (103)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Lundeström
Paul
P1
53.2%
56.3%
P2
54.8%
54.8%
P3
51.9%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |