Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Paul 50.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 94.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 90.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Roslovic
Paul
Last 7: Roslovic 6-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
5
0
Roslovic
Paul
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
53.0% (644)
-10.1%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
37.5% (24)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
42.9% (177)
-14.8%
On power play, Roslovic has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
41.6% (442)
52.5% (516)
Away
45.5% (413)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
44.9%
47.6%
P2
43.8%
48.4%
P3
41.8%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |