Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.8% vs Paul 51.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 81.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 60.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Scheifele
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Scheifele
Paul
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Scheifele
Paul
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
2
Scheifele
Paul
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (631)
56.2% (274)
-7.7%
Power Play
67.2% (61)
52.9% (17)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
43.4% (129)
-10.1%
On power play, Scheifele has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Scheifele shoots right. Paul is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Paul
Home
52.0% (358)
52.3% (235)
Away
47.6% (349)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Scheifele
Paul
P1
46.3%
53.2%
P2
50.9%
53.8%
P3
51.5%
49.3%
OT
71.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nick Paul |